🇯🇵 Japan 0–1 Turkey 🇹🇷

2002 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #14 · Elo #13

0–1Turkey win

value €0M · value #30 · Elo #21

Model P(result)

24.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.05

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1870 vs 1778

Stage

Round of 16

2002 World Cup