🇫🇷 France 1–0 Brazil 🇧🇷

2006 World Cup · Quarter-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €270M · value #5 · Elo #5

1–0France win

value €365M · value #2 · Elo #1

Model P(result)

23.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.09

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1999 vs 2097

Stage

Quarter-final

2006 World Cup