🇯🇵 Japan 0–0 Paraguay 🇵🇾

2010 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €73M · value #21 · Elo #27

0–0draw

value €71M · value #22 · Elo #18

Model P(result)

26.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.90

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1757 vs 1790

Stage

Round of 16

2010 World Cup