🇸🇪 Sweden 1–0 Switzerland 🇨🇭

2018 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €120M · value #22 · Elo #17

1–0Sweden win

value €218M · value #16 · Elo #12

Model P(result)

30.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.71

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1870 vs 1912

Stage

Round of 16

2018 World Cup