🇧🇷 Brazil 4–1 South Korea 🇰🇷

2022 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1142M · value #2 · Elo #1

4–1Brazil win

value €164M · value #22 · Elo #22

Model P(result)

79.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.33

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

336

2137 vs 1801

Stage

Round of 16

2022 World Cup