🇵🇹 Portugal 6–1 Switzerland 🇨🇭

2022 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €937M · value #4 · Elo #6

6–1Portugal win

value €281M · value #14 · Elo #13

Model P(result)

46.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.12

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1992 vs 1927

Stage

Round of 16

2022 World Cup