🇧🇷 Brazil 2–0 Belgium 🇧🇪

2002 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #3 · Elo #10

2–0Brazil win

value €0M · value #2 · Elo #14

Model P(result)

50.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.00

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1947 vs 1855

Stage

Round of 16

2002 World Cup