🇺🇸 United States 2–0 Mexico 🇲🇽

2002 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #31 · Elo #17

2–0United States win

value €0M · value #15 · Elo #15

Model P(result)

22.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.14

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

105

1787 vs 1892

Stage

Round of 16

2002 World Cup