🇰🇷 South Korea 2–1 Italy 🇮🇹

2002 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #26 · Elo #25

2–1South Korea win

value €0M · value #13 · Elo #3

Model P(result)

15.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.65

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

168

1804 vs 1972

Stage

Round of 16

2002 World Cup