🇩🇪 Germany 2–0 Sweden 🇸🇪

2006 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €181M · value #9 · Elo #10

2–0Germany win

value €108M · value #11 · Elo #11

Model P(result)

47.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.08

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1946 vs 1873

Stage

Round of 16

2006 World Cup