🇩🇪 Germany 1–1 Argentina 🇦🇷

2006 World Cup · Quarter-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €181M · value #9 · Elo #10

1–1draw

value €228M · value #7 · Elo #8

Model P(result)

26.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.90

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1970 vs 1998

Stage

Quarter-final

2006 World Cup