🇩🇪 Germany 4–0 Argentina 🇦🇷

2010 World Cup · Quarter-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €290M · value #7 · Elo #5

4–0Germany win

value €347M · value #5 · Elo #7

Model P(result)

35.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.51

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

2010 vs 2020

Stage

Quarter-final

2010 World Cup