🇩🇪 Germany 1–0 Argentina 🇦🇷

2014 World Cup · Final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €526M · value #2 · Elo #3

1–0Germany win

value €392M · value #4 · Elo #4

Model P(result)

54.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

119

2202 vs 2083

Stage

Final

2014 World Cup