🇦🇷 Argentina 1–0 Switzerland 🇨🇭

2014 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €392M · value #4 · Elo #4

1–0Argentina win

value €178M · value #15 · Elo #14

Model P(result)

63.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.66

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

188

2048 vs 1860

Stage

Round of 16

2014 World Cup