🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 0–0 Portugal 🇵🇹

2006 World Cup · Quarter-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €342M · value #3 · Elo #3

0–0draw

value €234M · value #6 · Elo #9

Model P(result)

27.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1998 vs 2007

Stage

Quarter-final

2006 World Cup