🇬🇭 Ghana 1–1 Uruguay 🇺🇾

2010 World Cup · Quarter-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €59M · value #24 · Elo #25

1–1draw

value €130M · value #13 · Elo #12

Model P(result)

22.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.13

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

177

1754 vs 1931

Stage

Quarter-final

2010 World Cup