🇦🇺 Australia 1–1 Denmark 🇩🇰

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €50M · value #27 · Elo #22

1–1draw

value €259M · value #14 · Elo #13

Model P(result)

23.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.08

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

158

1731 vs 1889

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup