🇭🇷 Croatia 1–1 Denmark 🇩🇰

2018 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €364M · value #10 · Elo #14

1–1draw

value €259M · value #14 · Elo #13

🏆 Unofficial World Championship

This result transferred the unofficial title to Croatia.

Model P(result)

26.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.93

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1956 vs 1888

Stage

Round of 16

2018 World Cup