🇧🇷 Brazil 2–0 Mexico 🇲🇽

2018 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €981M · value #3 · Elo #1

2–0Brazil win

value €155M · value #19 · Elo #15

Model P(result)

76.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.39

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

299

2141 vs 1842

Stage

Round of 16

2018 World Cup