🇫🇷 France 1–0 Belgium 🇧🇪

2018 World Cup · Semi-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1080M · value #1 · Elo #4

1–0France win

value €754M · value #6 · Elo #8

Model P(result)

39.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.35

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

2067 vs 2049

Stage

Semi-final

2018 World Cup