🇧🇪 Belgium 0–0 Croatia 🇭🇷

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €563M · value #9 · Elo #5

0–0draw

value €377M · value #11 · Elo #11

Model P(result)

27.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1947 vs 1944

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup