🇦🇷 Argentina 2–2 Netherlands 🇳🇱

2022 World Cup · Quarter-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €645M · value #7 · Elo #2

2–2draw

value €587M · value #8 · Elo #4

Model P(result)

26.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.92

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

2126 vs 2068

Stage

Quarter-final

2022 World Cup