🇦🇷 Argentina 3–3 France 🇫🇷

2022 World Cup · Final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €645M · value #7 · Elo #2

3–3draw

value €1032M · value #3 · Elo #7

Model P(result)

26.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.93

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

2150 vs 2075

Stage

Final

2022 World Cup