🇫🇷 France 2–0 Morocco 🇲🇦

2022 World Cup · Semi-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1032M · value #3 · Elo #7

2–0France win

value €241M · value #17 · Elo #24

Model P(result)

54.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.88

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

122

2045 vs 1923

Stage

Semi-final

2022 World Cup