🇫🇷 France 3–1 Poland 🇵🇱

2022 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1032M · value #3 · Elo #7

3–1France win

value €256M · value #16 · Elo #16

Model P(result)

60.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.72

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

166

1992 vs 1826

Stage

Round of 16

2022 World Cup