🇧🇷 Brazil 0–3 Netherlands 🇳🇱

2014 World Cup · Third place. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €468M · value #3 · Elo #1

0–3Netherlands win

value €208M · value #11 · Elo #5

Model P(result)

44.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.16

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

2038 vs 2094

Stage

Third place

2014 World Cup