🇨🇴 Colombia 1–1 England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

2018 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €251M · value #15 · Elo #9

1–1draw

value €874M · value #5 · Elo #7

Model P(result)

27.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1938 vs 1943

Stage

Round of 16

2018 World Cup