🇳🇱 Netherlands 2–0 Denmark 🇩🇰

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €256M · value #9 · Elo #3

2–0Netherlands win

value €85M · value #18 · Elo #15

Model P(result)

72.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.46

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

265

2043 vs 1778

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup