🇳🇱 Netherlands 2–1 Slovakia 🇸🇰

2010 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €256M · value #9 · Elo #3

2–1Netherlands win

value €80M · value #19 · Elo #28

Model P(result)

84.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.25

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

393

2071 vs 1678

Stage

Round of 16

2010 World Cup